2012-09-25
2012-10-03
x lipper
x clinton

STATION
MSNBCW 9
MSNBC 6
CNN 5
CNNW 5
CNBC 2
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English 27

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romney trailing. according to a new fox news poll, president obama leads romney by five points among likely voters nationwide. 48% to 43%. catch that, the fox poll. highly significant there. let's go right now to howard on this question. it looks to me like this divorce papers are pretty much out there right now. all that you hear now is romney doesn't really want to be stuck in that little basement where they cut medicare. >> well, mitt romney was on the campaign trail today saying, i have a little secret, i'm going to win pennsylvania. okay. he's not going to win pennsylvania. >> it's the oldest state in the union. >> he's not going to win pennsylvania with paul ryan's profile on medicare or budget cutting or anything else. so if mitt romney is serious about making a play in pennsylvania, that just underscores how inconvenient paul ryan has become. look, mitt romney did not pick paul ryan because of paul ryan's medicare or budget programs. he picked paul ryan because of his youthfulness, because of the cultural appeal, because of what paul ryan himself calls the deer hunter catholi

"wall street journal" poll. three more states now going into the obama column just a few moments ago. new hampshire, nevada and north carolina. in new hampshire, among likely voters, the spread is now seven points. margin error is about 3%. in nevada, it is a 2% spread within the margin of error. in north carolina, also within the margin of error, but now in favor of president obama. this is a state many people thought that could not happen in given especially the gay marriage debate, but these are the latest numbers we have tonight. obama is now leadinging in the latest polling from all nine battleground states. particularly a problem tonight is florida. the latest cbs poll shows obama ahead by nine points in florida. so, is this true? you may have heard about this. many on the right saying the polls are skewed. they're unfair. here is why republican strategist karl rove who knows polls and elections better than anyone says these polls can't possibly be right. >> think about this. romney and obama get each roughly the same percentage of the republicans and democrats as their opponen

cbs poll shows obama ahead by nine points in florida. so, is this true? you may have heard about this. many on the right saying the polls are skewed. they're unfair. here is why republican strategist karl rove who knows polls and elections better than anyone says these polls can't possibly be right. >> think about this. romney and obama get each roughly the same percentage of the republicans and democrats as their opponent. that is to say they carry their base overwhelmingly. romney among independents is winning by three points, so if romney's winning the independents and republicans, do you think in a battleground state like florida, he's nine points down? the answer is no. >> okay. that math doesn't actually work out because according to the florida poll, those who say they're most likely going to vote, 36% say they're democrats, 27% republicans and 33% independents, so as you can see, the math that karl rove laid out doesn't necessarily have to be so. let's bring in our panel here and talk about all of the polling here we do at cnn and how it works. cnn polls, one thing you may hav

. the romney campaign privately does not they think the polls awrong. they say the poll show obama leading by more than think he is. it's not they're saying the polls are wrong. when every national poll -- i don't think we can say -- when fox news' poll shows obama ahead in a bunch of swing states recently, i don't think we can say the polls are wrong and biased because fox news conservative leading. they show what the polls are showing as well. the president has a strong lead. pollsters have a strong incentive to have their polls be accurate, because that's what their profession is. i'm skeptical they're tries to missample people. the finding more democrats are anyway poll, when a democratic candidate is popular, more people call themselves democrats. that doesn't mean the poll is wrong. more people call themselves democrats than they might have been four or five weeks ago. >> let me bring in mark mckinnon. we'll bring you into this conversation. i want to start with something that newt gingrich said this morning on "morning joe." mark, let me play that. >> everybody i talk to agrees he's

, it's great to see you this morning. the latest polling is show that president obama is ahead, anywhere from five to eight points in virginia. that's where the two candidates will be today. romney is writing off all the battleground polling putting the president in the lead. he did so specifically yesterday on abc. take a listen. >> i'm very please wtd some polls. less so with other polls. but frankly at this early stage, polls go up, polls go down. i don't expect to get 100% of the vote. i know i'm not going to bet 100%. i hope to get 50 plus percent and make sure that i become the next president. >> as we look at this realistically, 40 days to go, we have gallup daily tracking putting romney within four points of the margin of error. the romney campaign and the republican super pacs have only just begun unleashing its ma massive campaign cash. can romney use the debates, use all of that money in reserve to reverse his fortunes going forward? >> well, we don't put much stock in polls, good or bad, at this point, particularly 40 days out. we are coming in to the debater isries

impact. tick-tock with 35 days to go. a new round of polling shows president obama now leads in nine key battleground states that could decide the race for the white house. the president holding a razor-thin edge over romney in north carolina and nevada. he leads by seven points by romney's home away from home, new hampshire. those poll numbers causing the clock to tick and grow louder thousand. the first debate is five days away. >> do you think that he has the ability as a -- >> having debated him 15 or 17 times, yeah. >> he's a pretty good debater, isn't he? >> he's a better debater than any of the nominees on the ticket. >> how much will the debates matter? with iowa one of 30 states castingle balan casting ballots by the end of the month? >> do you know that mccain beat obama on election day, and obama got it in early voting. >> things can change overnight with a great debate performance, but again, mark hallprin, time is running out. >> he's still behind in too many places to win. he doesn't have as of today an obvious electoral college path, and he's not going to make it up on the

. thank you. >>> coming up, president obama gaining ground in the latest battleground polls, but mitt romney doesn't seem worried. some republicans act like nothing's wrong at all. are they in denial? "the cycle" hosts join me next. ♪ ♪ fly by night away from here ♪ ♪ change my life again ♪ ♪ fly by night, goodbye my dear ♪ ♪ my ship isn't coming ♪ and i just can't pretend oww! ♪ [ male announcer ] careful, you're no longer invisible in a midsize sedan. the volkswagen passat. the 2012 motor trend car of the year. that's the power of german engineering. i just served my mother-in-law your chicken noodle soup but she loved it so much... i told her it was homemade. everyone tells a little white lie now and then. but now she wants my recipe [ clears his throat ] [ softly ] she's right behind me isn't she? [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. wthe future of our medicare andr electiosocial security. for... [ clears his throat ] [ softly ] she's right behind me isn't she? man 1: i want facts. straight talk. tell me your plan... and what it means for m

back to the brand new battleground polls. there's a different pattern emerging, president obama is ahead in new hampshire, tighter in nevada and north carolina. joining me, director of the marist poll. good to see you in person. >> welcome to the home of the new york yankees. >> you're going to blow the playoff run. >> i am worried. >> we want the beltway series in washington. we have been looking at this as sort of the generic, the general all nine states. what is your take away? >> i think what you're seeing is a very big difference when obama is 45, 46 as months ago when everything was 44, now he gets to 48, 49, 50, you can say it makes a difference -- >> it does feel like 48 is a big difference -- >> seeing a change in the right direction in the approval rating. >> massive gender gaps. two places stuck out, nevada and new hampshire, look at this. 16 point gender gap in nevada among women. leads by 20 among women in new hampshire. social issues, any time that moved new hampshire big time. >> big effort at the republican convention to try to close this gender gap, obviously no

, all right. >> romney's pitch comes as polling shows president obama has the advantage in nine battleground states including razor-thin leads in north carolina and nevada and a bigger lead in mitt romney's vacation destination, new hampshire. all of it comes with a new headline from politico. in the end, it's mitt. all of us making a first presidential debate, which is less than one week away now even more critical for the governor. let's bring in "news nation" panel. david godfrin, michael and steve daise, conservative radio talk show host. thanks to you for being with me on this friday. steve, let me start with you. these new poll numbers, the head-to-head showing the president now ahead in all three states, north carolina, nevada and new hampshire. new hampshire, of course, romney's home away from home where he has a vacation spot. governor romney's favorables continue to be underwater in all but north carolina now. combine these numbers with what we've seen all week, how worried are republicans? how worried are they that we're approaching the point where it might be time to

, nine polls, nine leads for president obama ahead of the first debate next week. we breakdown the newest numbers facing the romney campaign in the battleground states. controversy in one of those key states, and where else but florida where allegations of voter registration fraud hit a company hired by the republican national committee. could it have happened in any other battleground? >>> and saying so long to the senate, jon kyl sits down for the latest installment in on-going conversations with senators that are saying farewell. see what he says about george w. bush and john mccain. this is "the daily rundown." i am chuck todd. let's get to the first reads of the morning. in the last two weeks, we polled in nine battleground states deciding the election. ohio, florida, virginia, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, north carolina, nevada, new hampshire. bad news for mitt romney, he doesn't lead in a single one. at best within the poll's margin of error. at worst, trails by eight points. this morning, how the nine states stack up. we said it again and again. the president's job approval rating m

's the daily gallup tracking poll showing president obama up six points in the points. maybe he wanted to focus on rasmussen. >> maybe rasmussen. john heilemann, you hear a lot of people -- not people inside the romney campaign because they know they're in trouble, and they're focused on it, and i think that's a good sign. but you talk to -- you hear a lot of people on talk radio, and you watch certain cable news channels, and they're screeching about how the polls are rigged. romney's people know they're in big trouble, right? down about ten in ohio. even the fox news poll shows romney losing in a lot of these swing states. they understand they're in trouble. do they believe they've got a chance to turn it around? >> they do and they do. they know they're in trouble and they -- you know, they have tried a little bit to play the polls or bias game in the last couple days. but pretty half-heartedly as far as i can see. you know, they argue that they're within the margin of error in ohio. a lot of people don't really understand how margin of error works. so you can be pretty far behind and still

. naturally it will include the economy. now the latest polls somehow president obama erasing mitt romney's edge on that number one issue and actually leading in some polls who would better handle the economy. president obama is also using a new line. >> during campaign season you always hear a lot about patriotism. well, you know what? it's time for a new economic patriotism. an economic patriotism rooted in the belief that growing our economy begins with a strong and thriving middle class. >> joining any now "newsweek" columnist and cnbc contributor, zachary carabaugh. good friday, sir. economic patriotism is a new part of the lexicon here. >> it is a new part of the lexicon. it can mean just about anything. i don't mean to sound cynical about this. if you're for the president's economic policies, you're an economic patriot, and if you're against it, you're not. it's not a clear policy. it is a very catchy phrase. >> it is a very catchy phrase. in addition to being a centerpiece of a new ad, former ohio governor ted strickland used the phrase to take aim at romney in his democratic conv

university poll out late last night shows actually the race much tighter than it's been. president obama only added mitt romney by two percentage points. and fascinating there. so how does all of this look, mark? >> well, look. it is right to not take any single poll and make a huge deal of it but there are some state polls like that batch from the virginia poll. if you saw it in a vacuum you'd say romney is in the game. i think if he has some good news, a good first debate, i think the race will be significantly tighter than it's been and then they can move off just answering different versions of the same question every day, why are you so far behind, and have a chance to talk about things they want to talk about like the economy. but he is still behind in too many places to win and doesn't have as of today an obvious electoral college path and he is not going to make it up i don't think on the ground with enthusiasm anymore which is one thing they've been counting on. >> brian sullivan, let's bring you in as our money man. new polling from "the washington post" and the kaiser family founda

poll has mitt romney trailing president obama. the real clear politics national average show as four point lag. is romney letting this election slip right through his fingers? and importantly, why did he dial back his tax cut yesterday? if i don't know what romney's tax plan is, then i don't know how he's going to reach the middle class. in response to mirant last night and my it is pleasure with what mr. romney said, a key very senior mitt romney person calmed me today and says that mitt misspoke on dialing back tax cuts. and this senior person said mitt would like a mulligan and you know what, following beings, i'll give him a mulligan for now. but he has got to stay on message. and that importantly includes next wednesday's crucial debate. it could be his last chance. let's bring in our guest to comment on this. we have harry melver, steve moore oig and phil reducer. steve, i went off the rails and went off hfr-i was so angry at this wall street news story story. romney tempers tax plan, dialing back his tax code, suggesting that he's going to remove tax deductions from the middle

's not -- >> oh, good. new polls out from quinnipiac university show president obama with a narrow lead heading into wednesday's debate. president obama leading 49% among likely voters. but when it comes to women, president obama has stretched a lead to 18 points, 56% to 38%. the gap tightens when it comes to which candidate would better handle the economy, just one point separates them. when asked who would win tomorrow night's debate, the president nearly doubles mitt romney 54% to 28%. that doesn't mean anything. with us from denver, host of "the daily rundown," chuck todd standing in the dark in denver. chuck, break down the polls for us. >> well, you know, it's been interesting about him. we've got a new poll that comes out tonight. what i've thought interesting about the polls in the last few days, quinnipiac, cnn, they all show the same thing. the president's number, the bounce he got out of the convention, it has not deflated. he is staying in the 49%, 50%. >> granholm. >> the fluidity is in romney's number. romney is anywhere, instead of sitting in the single digits, instead of the low

of instructive. right now president obama seems safely ahead in all of the polling. pennsylvania is actually the kind of state that mitt romney's promise a year ago he was going to be able to put into play the same way john mccain's promise was supposedly that. the reason why pennsylvania has become so solid democratic they've won in each of the past five elections is largely because the suburbs outside philadelphia, white collar, affluent, right of center economically, left of center social issues have moved decisively towards the democrats. originally mitt romney was seen as a candidate who could appeal to those voters. but he's not making many inroads there. as a result pennsylvania seems out of reach in any realistic scenario. >> he was doing some fund raising there. that may be the major reason while he's there although the aides are being a bit coy pretending they think it's realistic to get the democrats that are spending so much there. wouldn't be the first time. >> we'll see if they put any television money or time in that. >> let's see if they put up there with some money. you've b

happened in benghazi. >> jennifer rubin, back to you. interesting. a bloomberg news poll, mitt romney is now plus six against obama on the issue of national security. >> yes. >> me, i think romney would be nuts if he doesn't press this case. you have a bipartisan group in the senate. democrats and republicans with a letter saying you have to give us a better hearing. you have to give us a better explanation. romney should be all over this. >> >> and they have not been. i have been complaining openly, in private, anywhere people will listen to me. it goes to the credible of the president and leadership. a person that would lie to the american people for his own political benefit about a incident of this level of severity on national security, that person doesn't belong in the white house. he needs to make that case. he can't make it through john mccain, as good as john mccain is, he can't make it through rudy giuliani as good as he is on this. he has to articulate himself and that's a test of leadership. >> should do it right now. thank you very much, colonel jack jacobs and jennifer r

that there are several key states, which you must win. >> first off, there was a nice pivot by ben, but president obama won north carolina last time around and i think it should give them pause, but when you look at these polls and i've said this before, we expect this to be very tight. down to election day. in these battleground states across the country, so i think that you know, what you're saying is that bounce that president obama had coming out of the democratic convention has gone away. it's dissipated and more americans are looking at the romney ryan ticket as one that will address issues and will deliver a plan that has impact on middle class americans, that will bring down taxes for all americans. period. there's only one candidate that's actually talking about raising taxes and there's another candidate, the romney ryan ticket, that will cut taxes for all americans. so i think as we go into this, we'll hear a lot more of that. obviously at the debate and this is the next phase f that campaign. >> mitt romney leads according to our poll, on unemployment and the deficit. let me ask you this, b

polls of independents and conservatives both say they feel the media has behaved badly. >> but president obama and people have gone to his -- to hawaii, traced his record, gone to kenya, talked to his relatives, gone to indonesia. we have sent people around the world. how has he not been vetted? >> well, consider this. this year, the new yorker wrote a huge spread on michele bachmann and her faith and religion, getting a lot of the theology wrong what she believes. in 2008, john mccain was endorsed by several pastors and it became multi-day stories in the media about john mccain's endorsements but the jeremiah wright stuff, you talk to a lot of reporters, they say barack obama never went to jeremiah wright's church. he just used that to build his political career in chicago. i as a conservative really don't think the media has portrayed barack obama's relationship with jeremiah wright as he himself did in 2008 and i still think that's a relevant topic. >> actually, bryce, let me bring you in here. then candidate obama in 2008 did make that speech in which he said i was there when he made

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